Elementary-Swanling
0x5f5cd76bbc53a0412fa48135fa97f637a3758334
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
19 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
18 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
18 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 250-300k federal employees accept the buyout?
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 450-500k federal employees accept the buyout?
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 300-350k federal employees accept the buyout?
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
16 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 200-250k federal employees accept the buyout?
16 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
16 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$0.01Apr 9, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$0.01Apr 9, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?$0.01Apr 3, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?$0.01Apr 3, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLula out before April?$0.01Mar 31, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$0.01Mar 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$0.01Mar 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$0.01Mar 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$0.01Mar 14, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?$0.01Mar 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?$0.01Mar 11, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBournemouth wins the Premier League?$0.01Mar 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Ethereum before March?$0.01Mar 1, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?$0.01Mar 1, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?$0.01Feb 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$0.01Feb 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$0.01Feb 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?$0.01Feb 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?$0.01Feb 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$0.01Feb 27, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.