Numb-Hair
0x5f5eda732bf14e2516d617f427d48a288445a628
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.48
Total PnL
$-709.49
Realised
$86.89
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
238 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$-8.30
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64565 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-129.13
- YES
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
24428 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.98
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4950 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-297.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
3992 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.19
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
3215 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1655 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Syria by December 31?
994 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 8, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.41Jul 8, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.70Jul 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.42Jul 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$210.78Jul 8, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$305.49Jul 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.89Jun 14, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$47.18Jun 14, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.96Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.45Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.14Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$80.88Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$94.01May 31, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.12May 29, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$121.60May 29, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$14.30May 21, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.