0x5f82320330d1235a94b9a93571b4bbc33a3bc9e6
0x5f82320330d1235a94b9a93571b4bbc33a3bc9e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.76
Total PnL
$-162.03
Realised
$38.34
Win rate
56%
170 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
1 shares @ 4.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.25
$1.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 23?
160 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.12
$-3.76
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 23?
60 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.39
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 21?
1445 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?
874 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 20?
719 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 22?
703 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?
544 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.89
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on February 17?
374 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 22?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21?$0.07Jul 19, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 23?$2.40Jul 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 23?$2.40Jul 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 23?$2.48Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?$0.02Jul 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?$0.60Jul 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21?$0.07Jul 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$0.27Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$1.53Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?$0.47Jul 19, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?$0.41Jul 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?$0.51Jul 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?$0.57Jul 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 20?$0.41Jul 19, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$1.50Jul 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$0.68Jul 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$0.21Jul 19, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$0.44Jul 19, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 14?$0.60Jul 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?$0.04Jul 2, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 170 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
170 closed markets, 56% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 170 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.