Reasonable-Slime
0x5f828f0cdacf227ce500b82656415b221a48b3bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$114.56
Total PnL
$-22.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
88 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$87.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
19 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.35
$1.35
- PAIN ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage
7 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$7.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
137 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage$7.01Jun 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$18.05Jun 29, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$17.02Jun 29, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$34.19Jun 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$16.04May 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$87.00May 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$27.44May 30, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$23.40May 30, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$29.73May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$32.08May 3, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$22.00May 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$5.00May 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$22.23May 3, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?$21.39May 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.12May 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$39.09May 3, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$51.43May 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$36.35Apr 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$18.00Apr 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$44.37Apr 27, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $22.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.