0x5f873f3a0171f9454f9ba253800761e2d27b1b6e
0x5f873f3a0171f9454f9ba253800761e2d27b1b6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$68.34
Total PnL
$-547.21
Realised
$-19.63
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$15.46
$10.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 23?
14 shares @ 42.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$13.60
$7.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$10.60
$7.63
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Rockets
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$8.79
$6.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$8.69
$6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 23?
7 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$6.77
$6.43
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 7.7¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.32
$1.55
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
47 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-2.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 19?
1113 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.21
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
514 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 26°C or below on April 25?$1.25Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 25?$0.51Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 25?$0.47Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 25?$0.50Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 25?$0.20Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on April 25?$0.40Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on April 25?$0.10Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 25?$0.52Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 24?$0.10Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?$0.40Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on April 25?$0.40Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 24?$0.10Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 24?$0.10Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 25?$0.80Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 24?$0.56Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 25?$0.12Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 24?$1.35Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on April 25?$0.13Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on April 24?$0.10Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.81Apr 24, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.