Long-Term-Fireman
0x5f8a9467168b315f94c2694492bd3c327f899506
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$556.10
Total PnL
$-68.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
74147 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$556.10
$-31.9K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
96137 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.0K
- HEAT
Heat vs. Hornets
8490 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
8345 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
4571 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- HEAT
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
1786 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- HEAT
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
442 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
440 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Hornets (-5.5)$5.9KJun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-5.5)$1.8KApr 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-5.5)$900.00Apr 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$2.6KApr 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5$0.10Mar 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELL1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)$1.4KMar 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5$3.2KMar 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-3.5)$260.00Mar 20, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)$800.00Mar 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5$1.8KMar 19, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-2.5)$1000.00Mar 19, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.8KMar 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.4KMar 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.0KMar 2, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.6KMar 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.6KMar 2, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.6KMar 2, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.6KMar 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.6KMar 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.2KMar 2, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.