Loud-Lab
0x5f9d293760dd7182908242f08fb91d4c9d5216a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
71 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
48 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Kansas Presidential Election?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAssociated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?$1.50Nov 5, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYState wide recount in Presidential Election? $2.00Nov 5, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas Tech beat Iowa State?$3.33Nov 5, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas Tech beat Iowa State?$0.50Nov 2, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 2, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$1.00Nov 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$1.00Nov 2, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$1.00Nov 2, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$1.00Nov 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$1.00Nov 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$1.00Nov 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$1.00Nov 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$1.00Nov 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$1.00Nov 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?$1.00Nov 2, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?$1.00Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 2, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 2, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 2, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.