Dead-Valance
0x5f9d8c4816c3470e02d1902fddd277996723dd7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$197.74
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-16.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
590 shares @ 15.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.70
$-13.20
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
2486 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.99
$21.90
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
950 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$42.75
$-14.25
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
359 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.30
$-17.94
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
200729 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.4K
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17123 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?
3330 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-115.81
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
2425 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-48.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
1495 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-37.36
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
1440 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.23May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.06May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.16May 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.39May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.11May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.74May 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00May 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.78May 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$4.50May 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.12May 13, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$8.69May 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$48.00May 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$1.55May 1, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$12.95May 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$19.05May 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$7.28May 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$50.24Apr 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$50.14Apr 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$0.95Apr 7, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$57.00Apr 5, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".