Dimpled-Spiderling
0x5f9f87460780e9c08fffcac788b30f034184a179
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.24
Total PnL
$39.82
Realised
$37.42
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 0.3¢·now 12.7¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.58
$0.57
- YES
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
11 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.27
$0.25
- YES
Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
17 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.23
$0.19
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
6 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$0.22
$0.20
- YES
Will David Hockney be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
12 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$0.17
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
17 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$0.19
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph?
7 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.17
$0.15
- YES
Will FlyQuest Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?
37 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.15
$0.09
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
7 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.14
$0.12
- YES
Will Alan Greenspan be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
7 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?$0.01Aug 12, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.02Aug 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald vs. Wu: Match O/U 21.5$0.02Aug 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald vs. Wu: Match O/U 21.5$0.02Aug 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald vs. Wu: Match O/U 21.5$0.02Aug 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?$0.02Aug 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?$0.02Aug 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?$0.02Aug 12, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belinda Bencic Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?$0.00Aug 12, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMLajovic vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5$0.00Aug 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLajovic vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5$0.02Aug 11, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLajovic vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5$0.02Aug 11, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLajovic vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5$0.02Aug 11, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMITF M25 East Lansing Men: Marko Mesarovic vs Evan Burnett$0.00Aug 11, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMThe Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds$0.00Aug 11, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arthur Fils Win ATP Montreal$0.00Aug 11, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMOver $500k committed to the Ryvo public sale?$0.00Aug 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik Win ATP Montreal$0.02Aug 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik Win ATP Montreal$0.02Aug 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik Win ATP Montreal$0.02Aug 11, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.