Utter-Afternoon
0x5fa3f123c1c6725aa0a3ad87b0ee3c75391fb116
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.29
Total PnL
$-125.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.29
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?
358 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 24?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 16?
195 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
60 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.30Jul 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$47.04Jun 23, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$47.00Jun 14, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$52.05Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$52.00Jun 11, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$9.01Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 5?$43.09Jun 5, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 5?$43.00Jun 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?$1.07Jun 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$9.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$53.11May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$53.01May 26, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$53.05May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$53.00May 24, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$52.05May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$52.00May 21, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$52.05May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$52.00May 10, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$52.05May 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$52.00May 7, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $40.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.