0x5fa7550adb896c8a483403f47afb2f347f3cf18e
0x5fa7550adb896c8a483403f47afb2f347f3cf18e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$11.91
Total PnL
$-4.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $322.50 Week of August 17 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.91
$-1.09
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.13
$-1.87
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.10
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$0.00Aug 19, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?$2.06Aug 19, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.79Aug 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$2.04Aug 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.06Aug 19, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$0.00Aug 18, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.67Aug 18, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.70Aug 18, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.03Aug 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.00Aug 18, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $322.50 Week of August 17 2026?$2.02Aug 18, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?$9.52Aug 17, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?$2.60Aug 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.04Aug 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?$2.08Aug 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$2.05Aug 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.03Aug 15, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$4.76Aug 15, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$5.13Aug 15, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.