Spotless-Chicory
0x5fab706a271000a38d3d9b1d21bddc30a7f0773f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
413 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
268 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DUARTE
CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)
39 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winner
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$17.09Jul 20, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.21Jul 19, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.82Jul 19, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.64Jul 19, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.22Jul 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.07Jul 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.06Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.01Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.05Jul 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$10.00Jul 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winner$5.18Jul 19, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.05Jul 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?$1.00Mar 4, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?$1.00Mar 4, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?$3.00Feb 28, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$92.07Feb 26, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Grizzlies$0.00Nov 21, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Thunder$0.00Nov 21, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.