Vague-Custard
0x5fbbb661b11ab5f1dbcb392ce9a8390e5072acb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$123.59
Total PnL
$-938.29
Realised
$20.59
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$40.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
44 shares @ 32.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.21
$-3.99
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
75 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-18.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$-4.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
74 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-45.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7PM ET
60 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
54 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-28.53
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
54 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.88
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of February?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$52.00Mar 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$42.00Mar 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?$13.78Mar 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$60.00Mar 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$51.80Mar 13, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 28, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$500.00Feb 28, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3PM ET$33.75Feb 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3PM ET$48.42Feb 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$45.70Feb 19, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$6.00Feb 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$8.26Feb 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$7.87Feb 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.34Feb 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$25.34Feb 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$38.76Feb 19, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$38.25Feb 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$44.78Feb 19, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$25.50Feb 19, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$20.00Feb 19, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".