Elegant-Strudel
0x5fc04e06c8a4cf480bc96936d4ccced05cd29293
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.50
Total PnL
$-60.55
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.38
$0.15
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 6?
4280 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?
1130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?
1130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 15?
1100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 14?
1082 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on March 24?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$9.53Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$9.50Jul 9, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1?$3.19Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?$1.1KMay 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$2.12May 11, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.23May 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$2.13May 4, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?$2.15Apr 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 16?$2.11Apr 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?$2.11Apr 3, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?$0.03Apr 3, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on March 24?$2.14Mar 24, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 14?$4.33Mar 14, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $554.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.