Valuable-Interaction
0x5fc105bdeef10a6c2a8131b951ff45cba317717d
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$795.51
Realised
$-102.52
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
4552 shares @ 65.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$4.3K
$1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
1105 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
310 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
240 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
206 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-121.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
167 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-94.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$125.26Aug 23, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$99.06Aug 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$51.96Aug 23, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$51.73Aug 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$85.19Aug 23, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Aug 23, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$183.50Aug 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$52.52Aug 23, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$51.57Aug 23, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$51.61Aug 23, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$138.50Aug 23, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$21.05Aug 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$20.97Aug 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$20.92Aug 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$36.84Aug 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$51.85Aug 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$3.0KAug 20, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$100.00Feb 13, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$11.2KDec 4, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$2.1KDec 1, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $699.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.