Able-Comment
0x5fc91fb91a68eaf9f62970192e9163f275b1f90f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-492.66
Realised
$-16.63
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
1722 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-25.65
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
700 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-23.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
383 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-132.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
360 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-151.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-41.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
79 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
60 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.00Jul 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.17Jul 21, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$9.80Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.17Jul 19, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9.80Jul 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.17Jul 17, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.80Jul 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.17Jul 16, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Jul 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.17Jul 14, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$9.62Jul 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$5.17Jul 8, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$9.68Jul 7, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.35Jul 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.82Jul 7, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$9.62Jul 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$5.17Jul 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.17Jul 4, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.17Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.17Jun 29, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.