Informal-Egghead
0x5fca7917a748887ba10094576023a2bb5d2122e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-550.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
1200 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?
571 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.6KMar 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$25.00Sep 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Sep 25, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$200.00Sep 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$25.00Sep 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?$300.00Sep 25, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $114.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".