Whopping-Graft
0x5fd5a7e4dd9b56f094365947197db9482dad63eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-283.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
6309 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-31.99
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
2372 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
2133 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$1.00Jun 9, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?$1.00Jun 9, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?$1.00Jun 9, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$20.00Jun 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00Jun 3, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$1.00Jun 1, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.00Jun 1, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$1.00Jun 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?$1.00Jun 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$2.00Jun 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$21.00May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.24May 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.25May 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$31.49May 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.