Formal-Supreme
0x5fdad8fd269101e238b854870f78cae9b63f01d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$-425.41
Realised
$377.04
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
13052 shares @ 68.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.8K
$-149.09
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2583 shares @ 69.9¢·now 78.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$212.97
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6581 shares @ 24.9¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-105.35
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6815 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$507.72
$-17.04
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$428.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5280 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$124.09
$2.64
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
125 shares @ 77.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.02
$12.78
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
659 shares @ 10.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$108.70
$39.97
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
1166 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.28
$24.00
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
54 shares @ 71.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.17
$4.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.27Jun 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.74Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.61Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.50Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$198.67Jun 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.46Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.93Jun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$11.87Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$18.28Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$6.98Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$11.64Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$25.68Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$43.77Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$9.59Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$12.13Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$27.28Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.25Jun 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.93Jun 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$11.57Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $41.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.