Young-Networking
0x5fdea984110138670aebb574c83a23b81ee6cbbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$490.10
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$295.40
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
120 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.46
$9.90
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
95 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.00
$61.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$92.99
$4.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
74 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.21
$63.82
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.50
$-23.50
- YES
Remote IPO before 2027?
150 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$6.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
138 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.44
$-15.81
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
100 shares @ 15.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$4.20
- DOWN
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 15?
1955 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
897 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.01
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$51.81Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$135.53Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$172.04Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$54.81Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$43.35Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$247.16Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$148.40Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$59.92Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$46.18Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$99.87Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$41.86Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$140.29Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$100.53Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.25Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$115.84Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$102.85Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$96.60Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$99.85Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$74.24Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$54.26Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.