Gifted-Smoke
0x5fe07a3a9359832f7352c86b6e3cf33d7d756387
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
6205 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?
2289 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-519.72
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
1932 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-633.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
1924 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-533.16
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
1685 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-733.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
1012 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- NO
Pump.fun buybacks $40M worth of $PUMP before September?
915 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
FDA approves Sanofi’s Rilzabrutinib for immune thrombocytopenia?
431 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 4?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on or before September 23 ET?
216 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-23.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.44Jan 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS stagflation in 2025?$0.83Jan 1, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$44.60Jan 1, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$253.97Jan 1, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$400.00Jan 1, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$135.31Nov 1, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$265.20Oct 11, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition$214.29Oct 6, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$22.05Oct 3, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$70.28Oct 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$20.00Oct 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$20.85Oct 2, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.84Oct 2, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$18.46Oct 2, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$30.93Oct 2, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$47.54Oct 1, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by September 30?$300.00Oct 1, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by September 30?$500.00Oct 1, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by September 30?$2.1KOct 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$33.00Sep 30, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $55.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".