Hilarious-Signature
0x5fe1d3e5c22d7a8bd1628b4c8a0b9a08ada7273b
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.10
Realised
$-13.87
Win rate
3%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?
415 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 19?
84 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?$5.16Jun 20, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?$1.23Jun 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 21?$7.00Jun 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?$0.00Jun 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?$3.40Jun 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 20?$1.05Jun 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 19?$0.05Jun 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 19?$0.30Jun 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?$1.06Jun 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?$0.11Jun 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 19?$0.10Jun 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?$1.04Jun 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?$1.03Jun 19, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?$4.20Jun 19, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 21?$5.19Jun 19, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$2.05Jun 19, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$0.00Jun 19, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 19?$1.05Jun 19, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19?$1.05Jun 19, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?$1.05Jun 19, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.