Joint-Recognition
0x5fe96839bc1cf7250707843d8e22feaff00fbb0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$75.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
2500 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.5K
$133.34
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
1100 shares @ 90.7¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.0K
$37.91
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
1147 shares @ 21.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$154.84
$-86.99
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$114.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$66.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
4893 shares @ 9.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$56.27
$-391.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
1000 shares @ 14.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$53.50
$-93.70
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
2700 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
1435 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-387.47
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
800 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$10.00Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$10.00Jun 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5$1.70Jun 20, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$6.96Jun 20, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$0.10Jun 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.00Jun 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.00Jun 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5$2.78Jun 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.57Jun 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$0.03Jun 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$5.17Jun 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$7.20Jun 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.26Jun 20, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$10.00Jun 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.41Jun 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$7.16Jun 20, 04:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.76Jun 19, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$2.35Jun 19, 17:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $58.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.