Knowledgeable-Correspondent
0x5fef960684ed43cca45d2d424f19a8c1583a9e3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$55.12
Total PnL
$-27.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?
28 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$28.37
$-0.03
- NO
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
27 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?$28.40Jul 29, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$19.08Jul 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$19.01Jul 27, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 20-26?$28.66Jul 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 20-26?$28.60Jul 24, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.07Jul 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.00Jul 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?$17.07Jul 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?$17.00Jul 19, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 17?$20.78Jul 19, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$28.14Jul 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 17?$20.71Jul 17, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$25.10Jul 17, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$28.01Jul 15, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$17.07Jul 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$25.00Jul 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$17.50Jul 14, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?$18.05Jul 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$17.00Jul 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$17.41Jul 12, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.