Stark-Therapy
0x5ff7455790cd4a08ce14eb5887e6b12279e0f7f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$87.99
Realised
$47.51
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2800 shares @ 87.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.5K
$86.81
- NO
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
2000 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.8K
$0.01
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
2040 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$234.36
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
1500 shares @ 86.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.5K
$157.45
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
900 shares @ 81.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$751.49
$14.03
- NO
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
300 shares @ 90.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$283.50
$13.17
- NO
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$101.75
$0.83
- YES
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?
102 shares @ 87.7¢·now 91.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$92.83
$3.68
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-469.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$32.67Aug 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$38.61Aug 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$45.54Aug 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$53.46Aug 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$62.37Aug 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$73.26Aug 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$65.60Aug 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$230.32Aug 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$86.13Aug 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$4.56Aug 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$4.56Aug 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$10.66Aug 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$12.30Aug 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$41.50Aug 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$92.29Aug 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$396.03Aug 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by August 31, 2026?$1.00Aug 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$41.00Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$69.22Aug 11, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$47.50Aug 11, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $86.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.