0x5ff773676a27c496c18b4958bb201ed447ee0357
0x5ff773676a27c496c18b4958bb201ed447ee0357
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-526.38
Realised
$-3.56
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
3187 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 25?
2975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 1?
2100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 2?
2100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on February 25?
1701 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?
1095 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 1?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 25?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on March 4?
963 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 4?
834 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or higher on February 22?$0.00Mar 28, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Mar 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$4.00Mar 28, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$4.00Mar 28, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4.00Mar 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.00Mar 28, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.00Mar 28, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$4.00Mar 27, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.40Mar 27, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.60Mar 27, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.16Mar 27, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.84Mar 27, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$4.00Mar 27, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.