Immaterial-Gnu
0x600711e2f02a9484106160b7a05d292958c01788
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$64.43
Total PnL
$-120.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
160 shares @ 15.6¢·now 15.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.63
$-4.37
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.17
$-5.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
581 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$69.64Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$101.70Jun 20, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$238.10Jun 16, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$102.32Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$322.58Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?$25.84Jun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$25.80Jun 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$25.85Jun 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$203.04Jun 11, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$107.53Jun 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$10.37May 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.56May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.28May 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$100.70May 16, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$103.06May 16, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $77.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.