Messy-Spruce
0x6014b2f35375de1854bda5f56a10b698a6c03189
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$190.23
Total PnL
$8.10
Realised
$7.46
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?
49 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$49.00
$0.49
- NO
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$20.00
$1.00
- NO
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$19.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
19 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$19.06
$1.58
- NO
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
14 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$14.06
$1.46
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$9.00
$1.08
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?
9 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$9.00
$3.15
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
9 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.00
$2.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
9 shares @ 4.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$9.00
$8.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 7?
8 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$8.03
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 8?$1.18Oct 7, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$7.92Oct 7, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$1.92Oct 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$0.63Oct 7, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 7?$2.61Oct 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$12.60Oct 7, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?$3.60Oct 7, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?$48.51Oct 7, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on October 8?$3.76Oct 7, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on October 7?$2.13Oct 6, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$17.48Oct 6, 18:35 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$3.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$5.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$5.01Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONBig Game Champion 2026$4.00Oct 6, 18:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets October 7 - October 14, 2025?$9.00Oct 6, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 7, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".