Remarkable-Accord
0x601d71f37558ee8d017ed7d0fa35614eaa1f1778
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-20.04
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
20857 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-127.98
- YES
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?
2680 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will France win on 2025-10-13?
619 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-354.91
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Flyers
511 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?
421 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-257.03
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
275 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-120.82
- YES
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?
256 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-38.50
- TIGERS
Mariners vs. Tigers
227 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-102.33
- BREWERS
Dodgers vs. Brewers
223 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-104.90
- CAVALIERS
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
213 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$8.00Oct 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win on 2025-10-14?$359.97Oct 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win on 2025-10-14?$204.16Oct 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win on 2025-10-14?$601.74Oct 14, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Brazil end in a draw?$52.44Oct 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Brewers$104.90Oct 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMariners vs. Blue Jays$104.89Oct 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Flyers$299.99Oct 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Blue Jays$50.40Oct 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2025-10-13?$350.39Oct 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2025-10-13?$154.94Oct 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2025-10-13?$49.10Oct 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2025-10-13?$199.97Oct 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2025-10-13?$57.79Oct 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2025-10-13?$48.76Oct 13, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMMariners vs. Blue Jays$48.76Oct 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Blue Jays$19.99Oct 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Wizards$5.00Oct 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2025-10-12?$10.00Oct 12, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $115.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.