Defensive-Dispute
0x601e9c08aff53ce9b08f45065687471fc6684df0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.65
Total PnL
$-493.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.99
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)
599 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-169.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)$33.00Dec 14, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)$36.00Dec 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$45.00Dec 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)$100.00Dec 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$20.00Dec 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$27.03Dec 13, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$60.61Dec 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$10.00Dec 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$20.00Dec 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)$10.00Dec 13, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$17.86Dec 13, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)$17.86Dec 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)$10.00Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$10.00Dec 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$5.00Dec 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Dec 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 10, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.00Dec 10, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.00Dec 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 9, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $36.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.