Regular-Pickaxe
0x602168dfb252fb823ff8f8bec4228a0b3dffec47
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$4.01
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 10?$4.01Dec 10, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$41.01Oct 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$40.97Oct 13, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$40.97Aug 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$40.89Aug 5, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?$40.89Jul 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?$40.85Jul 4, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on June 6?$40.85Jun 7, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on June 6?$40.73Jun 6, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Williams have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$19.81May 20, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?$20.92May 20, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$19.79May 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?$20.90May 18, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$40.69May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$40.65May 16, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?$40.65Feb 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?$40.12Feb 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$40.12Dec 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$80.25Dec 11, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$19.85Nov 1, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $227.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.