Fitting-Rebellion
0x60244e0c6f9bbc69ce887dd99b1c956ab6f5bf2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$21.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?
400 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$398.60
$3.83
- YES
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
201 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$200.20
$2.21
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$199.50
$2.30
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
200 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$198.70
$4.60
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$99.45
$0.15
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
73 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$72.23
$0.06
- NO
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
60 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$59.67
$2.73
- NO
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
40 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$39.02
$2.62
- NO
Iran leadership change by August 31?
30 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$29.80
$0.97
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
30 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$29.37
$0.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?$72.22Aug 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?$198.13Aug 20, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?$26.39Aug 20, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?$197.20Aug 19, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?$50.00Aug 18, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?$50.00Aug 18, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on August 18?$48.90Aug 18, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 18?$50.00Aug 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$36.40Aug 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 18?$49.90Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$99.20Aug 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on August 18?$48.76Aug 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?$47.95Aug 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?$49.62Aug 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$6.29Aug 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$99.30Aug 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$22.30Aug 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$28.20Aug 18, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$30.00Aug 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$28.50Aug 11, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $104.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.