Impassioned-Normal
0x6036556e47acfc0c7ea25a1a5fb2c04856f07480
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-31.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will F1: The Movie win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$2.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.00Dec 12, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?$1.01Dec 12, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Dec 9, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.01Dec 9, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.