Parallel-Evidence
0x604387f17ade457e3fa401d10c3abd8942b3c162
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$569.36
Total PnL
$-24.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
462 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$456.74
$225.71
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.70
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.68
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.60
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.78
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on May 23?$7.00May 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 22?$9.00May 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on May 23?$6.70May 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 22?$9.20May 22, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?$9.10May 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 22?$9.70May 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 23?$6.60May 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?$9.60May 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 23?$7.80May 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?$6.60May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?$8.60May 22, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 22?$7.80May 22, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 21?$9.01May 22, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on May 21?$7.91May 20, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?$8.51May 20, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on May 21?$7.90May 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 21?$9.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?$8.50May 20, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".