Wary-Trillion
0x60452fbbec8b36437d99cea7f700e03c4e2f5fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$101.10
Total PnL
$-218.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of July 6 2026?
101 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$101.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 21?
840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?
840 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 3?
784 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 2?
775 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 25?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
733 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16?
710 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 3?
668 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
668 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of July 6 2026?$101.00Jul 10, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$101.10Jul 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$101.00Jun 30, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$12.01Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$89.76Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$89.67Jun 5, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$12.31Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 31?$12.51Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.43Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$51.42Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$51.37May 31, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$4.89May 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$56.27May 31, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$56.21May 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55.92May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$56.02May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 31?$12.50May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$1.13May 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$69.90May 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$70.02May 30, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $72.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.