0x604fdbb9970d77528c3af620e84f5e9e2e2e9c80
0x604fdbb9970d77528c3af620e84f5e9e2e2e9c80
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?
805 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-225.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?
560 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2025$0.00
$-246.40
- UP
XRP Up or Down on May 28?
380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?
270 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-237.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
260 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-119.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 9 at 5 PM ET?
245 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-149.45
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in April?
150 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?
75 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.25
- RAPOSO
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11 AM ET$490.00Jun 11, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?$225.40Jun 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11 AM ET$245.00Jun 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8 PM ET$15.00Jun 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8 PM ET$15.00Jun 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11 AM ET$470.00Jun 9, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 9 at 5 PM ET?$149.45Jun 9, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11 AM ET$470.00Jun 9, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7 AM ET$620.00Jun 9, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?$119.60Jun 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7 AM ET$310.00Jun 6, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$430.00Jun 5, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$305.30Jun 4, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?$305.00Jun 4, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?$195.20Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.30May 29, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 28?$190.00May 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?$1.40May 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in April?$96.00May 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$246.40May 12, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $111.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".