Acidic-Pegboard
0x605df75be8e2edd660cc7ff02d613cd12bb2e15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.66
Total PnL
$-202.56
Realised
$46.16
Win rate
100%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?
1767 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.77
$-0.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
183 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.74
$-0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
476 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.19
$-1.14
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
323 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.78
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
160 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.56
$-0.08
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
1009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
222 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.44
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
760 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.38
$-0.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
748 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.37
$-0.37
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
525 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.26
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.20Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.25Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.42Jul 23, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.35Jul 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$0.02Jul 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.44Jul 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.60Jul 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$0.31Jul 23, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.17Jul 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.26Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in July?$0.33Jul 23, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.23Jul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.15Jul 22, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.15Jul 22, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
57 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.