Sharp-Mankind-Savings
0x607c221d1fca1747501fe0b605991ed540fd8e7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.52
Total PnL
$-535.30
Realised
$286.51
Win rate
88%
126 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 30?
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.19
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 29?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 29?
561 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.28
$-5.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?
4493 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13?
2472 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?
2164 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 27?
1639 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 17?
1168 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 23?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 30?$0.10Jul 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 30?$0.90Jul 29, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$0.25Jul 29, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$1.39Jul 29, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$3.08Jul 29, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$1.06Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$1.44Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$0.30Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$0.09Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$0.43Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$3.78Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$0.22Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29?$0.07Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$1.96Jul 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$0.02Jul 29, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 29?$1.60Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?$0.44Jul 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$0.16Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?$2.84Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 126 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
126 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 126 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.