Leafy-Psychoanalyst
0x60839e8fd8f552b3bca916373745083a0cf6163d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.47
Realised
$22.20
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
2509 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?
433 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?
38 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?
37 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?
17 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
16 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
13 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?
13 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?
12 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$1.28May 21, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$1.97May 21, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$1.81May 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$1.82May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$2.14May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$3.85May 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$2.65May 16, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$2.14May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$0.23May 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$0.65May 16, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$1.08May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$2.14May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$1.08May 16, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?$7.82May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?$6.59May 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$0.02May 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$4.14May 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$1.03May 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$11.81May 14, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.