Warmhearted-Reservation
0x60944234fb8cf204855cd16fbe6d9b3ceb4fd510
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.1K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
12260 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.0K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
9390 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
9030 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
7786 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
7000 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
6557 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- MOROCCO
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
6452 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
5660 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
5595 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$17.62Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$12.6KJul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.7KJul 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$2.1KJul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.1KJul 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$2.04Jul 18, 20:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.19Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2.1KJul 14, 19:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.50Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$3.0KJul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$2.0KJul 11, 05:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.53Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.09Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $659.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.