These-Guess
0x60951f88240bdec67916b03312c75a683b5413fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$155.60
Total PnL
$-10.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
161 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 28?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
390 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
9 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?$156.19Jun 4, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$156.47Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$156.02May 29, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$156.25May 25, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$145.52May 24, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$145.15May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$145.01May 22, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$145.44May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$145.02May 19, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$144.43May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$144.02May 17, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$144.32May 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$141.16May 15, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$141.14May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$141.01May 13, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$141.40May 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$140.07May 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$140.01May 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$133.05May 12, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$133.13May 10, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $131.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".