Satisfied-Prophet
0x609819028c59170a2f2dedd7738f03c5f3fdd6ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$128.89
Total PnL
$-493.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1389 shares @ 14.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.16
$-95.83
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.72
$-75.28
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
4261 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
3491 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?
2428 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
936 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
657 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Jan 17, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?$32.00Jan 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$50.00Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$50.00Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$50.00Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$100.00Jan 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$100.00Jan 15, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $56.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.