Those-Psychiatrist
0x609a667e4157f697a36ef6c631ae09cf62a41502
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
140
Open notional
$64.41
Total PnL
$-79.49
Realised
$-0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
12 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.25
$1.05
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.03
$0.66
- SHANGHAI SHARKS
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$8.39
$0.67
- NO
Will Iran strike Yemen in March?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$6.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 19?
6 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.88
$0.45
- NO
Will Solana reach $130 in March?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.55
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.45
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$0.50Mar 19, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$0.50Mar 19, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5$0.50Mar 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Mavericks$0.50Mar 19, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Mavericks$0.50Mar 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pelicans$0.50Mar 19, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pelicans$0.50Mar 19, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?$4.38Mar 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 19?$5.43Mar 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?$5.52Mar 18, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?$5.51Mar 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYShanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin$7.72Mar 18, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 17?$5.84Mar 18, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 17?$5.93Mar 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.25Mar 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nuggets$0.50Mar 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nuggets$0.50Mar 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Kings$0.50Mar 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Kings$0.50Mar 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns$0.50Mar 18, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.