Immediate-Recession
0x60a06c55422909d4abf0c9e8873044d016123a93
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-242.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
893 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
367 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3?
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
196 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
168 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ assists AND Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots AND Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots$10.00Jul 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.13Jul 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?$1.05Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$17.50Jul 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$4.00Jul 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?$1.00Jul 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$2.99Jul 19, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$1.99Jul 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 2+ goals AND Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$19.99Jul 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? AND Argentina to score first vs. Spain?$6.00Jul 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$8.00Jul 19, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$10.31Jul 18, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$124.87Jul 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.08Jul 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$10.46Jul 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$10.46Jul 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.06Jul 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$71.55Jul 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$40.41Jul 12, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.