Vivacious-Ectoderm
0x60a50c7a7abbb87c2ef79c1488320ca51a1df52e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$294.15
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-23.04
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
1528 shares @ 13.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$198.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$95.45
$-4.54
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
1481 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
1319 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
1218 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1001 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.12
- YES
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?
458 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?
390 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
383 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?
375 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$20.77Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$100.00Jul 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$100.00Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabah FK win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$15.00Jul 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? AND Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$10.00Jul 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw? AND Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? AND Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$20.00Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabah FK win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$25.00Jul 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? AND Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?$18.80Jul 28, 10:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27? AND Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?$92.66Jul 27, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27? AND Will BK Hacken vs. AIK end in a draw?$115.52Jul 27, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27?$8.20Jul 27, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill BK Hacken vs. AIK end in a draw?$62.43Jul 27, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: BK Hacken 2 - 2 AIK?$0.00Jul 27, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK?$0.00Jul 27, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jul 27, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BK Hacken vs. AIK end in a draw?$9.72Jul 27, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.18Jul 27, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27? AND Will BK Hacken vs. AIK end in a draw?$6.70Jul 27, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.