Hefty-Menorah
0x60a8f5b590fd5c5bdb6d63a61edc8468f6896687
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on November 6?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5?
227 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-27.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 11?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?
77 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-30.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-39.93
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
13 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$12.50Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.09Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$40.49May 21, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$39.78May 21, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$37.18May 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$28.62May 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.26May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.20May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$13.04May 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.28May 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.19May 18, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$12.20May 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.21May 18, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.21May 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.19May 18, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$9.62May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.17May 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?$2.58Nov 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?$2.91Nov 27, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.