Bony-Radiator
0x60ad0de8da71fc8f0f7cbba70f4718793c974b7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$303.79
Total PnL
$-111.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.00
$1.20
- OVER 3.5
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$99.99
$30.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.80
$16.80
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
10 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$0.61
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.10
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- IGA SWIATEK
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$77.00Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$18.17May 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$16.33May 31, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$7.00May 31, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$28.75May 31, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$78.00May 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$98.80May 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$32.00Feb 1, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMAustralian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$0.00Feb 1, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$609.39Feb 1, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$433.50Feb 1, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$87.00Feb 1, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)$99.69Feb 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)$59.42Jan 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)$5.57Jan 31, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)$100.00Jan 31, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$90.00Jan 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)$23.20Jan 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)$17.40Jan 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)$17.40Jan 28, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $95.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.