0x60ad4d745bff6b5efdd7d5fef732d513754da1e7
0x60ad4d745bff6b5efdd7d5fef732d513754da1e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-51.00
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
69 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.17
$-0.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
177 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
63 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
32 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
13 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
7 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.91Jul 21, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.08Jul 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.33Jul 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.46Jul 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.93Jul 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.21Jul 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.94Jul 21, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$3.11Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.74Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.54Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.64Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.49Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.97Jul 21, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.35Jul 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.23Jul 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.06Jul 21, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.24Jul 21, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.