Mushy-Attempt
0x60b0e3d5a1c1325d613d8cc6adc5f4002ae3591f
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$14.12
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-320.83
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.22
$1.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-22.10
- YES
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
401 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?
154 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Warriors
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
94 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 8?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 Getafe CF?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
78 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-48.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?
74 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.