Elastic-Disadvantage
0x60b2829242b839f4f63af46dcaba83758b9c6183
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- CAVALIERS
Kings vs. Cavaliers
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on July 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
32 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- EAGLES
Eagles vs. Giants
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Falcons$3.00Oct 13, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Thunder$3.13Oct 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Thunder$2.50Oct 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Giants$4.00Oct 9, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Grizzlies$3.45Oct 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Grizzlies$2.00Oct 8, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Rams$4.76Oct 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Rams$1.00Oct 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$1.00Oct 1, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$2.00Oct 1, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?$3.45Oct 1, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?$3.00Sep 30, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?$1.00Sep 30, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Dolphins$1.72Sep 30, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Bucks$0.00Sep 29, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Dolphins$1.00Sep 29, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 29, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Bucks$5.13Sep 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?$1.70Jul 30, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Orioles$1.00Jul 30, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.